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2024-12-14 10:23:47

Chen Guo, China Securities: The 2025 policy will focus on expanding domestic demand and AI+ in all directions, and the Central Economic Work Conference will be held in Beijing from December 11th to 12th. Chen Guo, chief strategy officer of China Securities, said that the meeting had seven highlights, including clarifying the growth target and fiscal and monetary policy measures, expanding domestic demand in all directions as the top priority of the policy, focusing on "AI+" in science and technology, focusing on implementation of reform measures, paying attention to coping with external shocks in opening up, strengthening the expression of real estate policies, and increasing efforts to improve people's livelihood. Chen Guo said that further RRR cuts and interest rate cuts from the end of 2024 to 2025 are worth looking forward to, and the easing of the liquidity environment has become a market consensus. However, this does not mean that liquidity is rampant, because the growth of money supply in the scale of social financing still continues the requirement of matching the expected target of the overall price level of economic growth. Chen Guo believes that the 2025 policy will focus on expanding domestic demand and AI+ in an all-round way, and the strength and direction of the policy are in line with expectations. With the support of policy expectations and liquidity, it is expected that the market will continue to show the characteristics of volatility. From the perspective of investment strategy, Chen Guo suggested focusing on non-bank finance, real estate chain, consumer electronics, machinery, construction, building materials, steel, social services, catering chain and other sectors. In terms of theme, it is suggested to pay attention to investment opportunities such as "duality" and "two innovations", supply-side optimization, new quality productivity, market value management of state-owned enterprises and CSI A500 index.The Shanghai 50 index fell more than 2%, and the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index fell 1.8%.The merger of Guotai Junan Haitong Securities was approved by the shareholders' meeting, and the merger and reorganization of Guotai Junan and Haitong Securities completed a key step. On the evening of December 13, the two companies simultaneously announced the resolutions of the shareholders' meeting. The merger and reorganization transaction plan and other related proposals were reviewed by the shareholders' meeting and passed by high votes. The merger and reorganization of Guotai Junan and Haitong Securities is the first merger and reorganization of head brokers since the implementation of the new "National Nine Articles". It is also the largest A+H bilateral market merger and the largest integration case of listed brokers in the history of China capital market, and the largest M&A project in international investment banking since 2008, involving multi-business licenses and a number of domestic and foreign listed subsidiaries.


On the 13th, glass fell by 2.14%, and the latest main contract positions changed as follows. According to the exchange data, as of December 13th, the main contract glass closed at 2505, up or down by -2.14%, with a turnover of 671,300 lots. The position data showed that the top 20 seats were clear, and the difference position was 46,081 lots. The total turnover of glass futures contracts was 999,900 lots, an increase of 189,100 lots over the previous day. The first 20 seats in the contract held 565,600 lots, a decrease of 12,000 lots from the previous day. The short positions in the top 20 seats of the contract were 661,500 lots, a decrease of 13,600 lots from the previous day. (Sina Futures)On the 13th, coking coal fell by 2.15%, and the latest main contract positions changed as follows. According to the exchange data, as of December 13th, the main contract coking coal closed at 2501, up or down by -2.15%, with a turnover of 104,800 lots. The position data showed that the top 20 seats were clear, and the difference position was 15,553 lots. The total contract turnover of coking coal futures was 180,200 lots, an increase of 8,845 lots over the previous day. The first 20 seats in the contract held 163,200 lots, an increase of 4,563 lots over the previous day. The short positions in the top 20 seats of the contract were 194,300 lots, an increase of 5,926 lots over the previous day. (Sina Futures)The Emergency Management Department made unannounced visits to inspect enterprises involved in dust explosion. Recently, the Emergency Management Department sent a working group to carry out unannounced visits to enterprises in key industries of industry and trade in Henan and Guangxi without greeting, accompanying reception and preparing materials, so as to promote the key areas of industry and trade to do a good job in the investigation and rectification of potential safety hazards in industry and trade this winter and next spring. It was found that some enterprises involved in dust explosion did not take explosion prevention and control measures, did not set up gas lock and ash unloading devices, did not set up spark detection and elimination devices, and did not implement dust cleaning system.


US media: Hamas may agree to temporarily stay in Gaza after the ceasefire of the Israeli army. On the 12th, the US media reported that the Palestinian Islamic Resistance Movement (Hamas) had softened its negotiating position and might agree to temporarily stay in Gaza after the ceasefire. Hamas has not yet responded to this news. (Xinhua News Agency)The turnover of Shanghai, Shenzhen and Beijing exceeded 1 trillion yuan, 55.6 billion yuan more than the previous day. Up to now, the turnover of Shanghai, Shenzhen and Beijing exceeded 1 trillion yuan, 55.6 billion yuan more than the previous day. Among them, the turnover of Shanghai Stock Exchange was 394.6 billion yuan, that of Shenzhen Stock Exchange was 596.3 billion yuan, and that of Beizheng 50 was 11.1 billion yuan.He ertai bought 199 million yuan and sold 155 million yuan in Shenzhen Stock Connect today. He ertai bought 199 million yuan and sold 155 million yuan today, with a turnover of 6.304 billion yuan and a turnover rate of 3.727%. After-hours data showed that the special seats of Shenzhen Stock Connect bought 199 million yuan and sold 155 million yuan.

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